Biomedical Research

Research Article - Biomedical Research (2018) Volume 29, Issue 10

The effect of neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio on 1-year mortality in pulmonary embolism diagnosed patients

Rıfat Urnal1, Pınar Yeşim Akyol2*, Zeynep Karakaya2, Umut Payza2, Fatih Esad Topal2, Eylem Kuday Kaykısız3

1Department of Emergency Medicine, Palandöken State Hospital, Erzurum, Turkey

2Department of Emergency Medicine, Izmir Katip Çelebi University Atatürk Training and Research Hospital, İzmir, Turkey

3Department of Emergency Medicine, Bitlis State Hospital, Bitlis, Turkey

*Corresponding Author:
Pınar Yeşim Akyol
Department of Emergency Medicine
Izmir Katip Çelebi University Atatürk Training and Research Hospital, Turkey

Accepted date: March 01, 2018

DOI: 10.4066/biomedicalresearch.29-18-137

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Abstract

Background: Pulmonary embolism (PE) is one of the major causes of mortality, morbidity and hospitalizations. We aimed to investigate the effect of neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on 1-year mortality.

Material and Methods: Among the patients, were referred to the emergency department of our hospital within 1-year who underwent computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA), patients who were interpreted as PE after CTPA were included in the study.

Results: The optimal NLR cutoff value for the power in predict 1-year mortality was determined as 4.74 with ROC analysis. The NLR cutoff value of 4.74 had sensitivity of 61%, specificity of 75%. There were statistically significant differences between groups in terms of NLR on 1-year mortality and mortality in patients with a NLR greater than 4.74 was statistically significant higher than in patients with a NLR of 4.74 or less.

Conclusion: We believe that NLR can be used in evaluating 1-year mortality of pulmonary embolism.

Keywords

Pulmonary embolism, Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, Mortality.

Introduction

Pulmonary Embolism (PE) is a common disease that can be fatal. According to the study conducted in the United States, more than 42 million deaths occurred in 20 y and about 600 of these deaths (1.5%) were diagnosed with PE [1]. PE is one of the major causes of mortality, morbidity and hospital admissions in all around the world. In 6 European countries, 317 thousand deaths were found associated with Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) occurred in 2004 (total population 454.4 million). In these cases, 34% of cases were presumed to be acute lethal PE, 59% of deaths were not diagnosed with PE, only 7% were diagnosed with PE in the early period and early treatment could be given [2].

There are many environmental and genetic risk factors for PE. VTE arises from endogenous interactions of patient-related persistent risk factors and environmental transient risk factors. VTE may occur, throughout 6 weeks to 3 months prior to diagnosis and was induced by several risk factors such as surgery [3], trauma, immobilization, pregnancy [4], oral contraceptive use [5], cancer [6,7] or hormone replacement therapy [8] and VTE can also occur when there is no known risk factor. Smoking, obesity, high cholesterol, hypertension (HT) and diabetes can be considered as direct or indirect common risk factors [9,10].

Early and accurate diagnosis is vital in PE as well as in many emergency conditions. When the patients are diagnosed correctly and on time, mortality falls below 10%. In general, the story, symptoms and clinical findings of PE diagnosis are highly sensitive but low specificity [11]. Clinical diagnosis is difficult. The most common symptoms are dyspnea, pleuritic pain, orthopnea, calf or thigh pain-swelling, wheezing resulted with rest or exertion [12]. Signs and symptoms of DVT are common [13].

PE is often asymptomatic that why both clinical monitoring and clinical prediction rules are useful in determining the likelihood of PE before the examination, although clinical evaluation alone is not reliable to detect or exclude PE diagnosis [14]. The only accepted rule for this process is the PE exclusion criteria (PERC rules) [13]. According to these criteria, patients with moderate or high risk are selected and further investigation is carried out in terms of PE.

The main goal of the diagnostic approach is to reduce the need for pulmonary angiography, is the gold standard for PE, as much as possible, which is invasive, expensive, not always easily accessible, and has certain morbidity and mortality for the treatment decision by using non-invasive methods as combination. For this purpose, different diagnostic algorithms including various diagnosis methods such as empirical clinical evaluation, d-dimer, lower extremity ultrasonography (USG), serial venous USG, ventilation-perfusion (V/Q) scintigraphy and computerized tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) [15,16].

Containing pulmonary trunci or right and left pulmonary artery (PA) thrombosis is called central PE. PA branches may accompany the thrombus [17].

Various classifications have been developed to make it easier to decide whether patients to be hospitalized or discharge for the patients were diagnosed PE. These classifications will be useful both in determining which patient is at risk for premature death and therefore will require aggressive treatment and intensive care [18,19], and also will determine which patients have a low risk of early complications such as death, venous thromboembolism, and major bleeding, and that we can discharge treat them [20]. The best-known indexes developed for this purpose are PE severity index (PESI) and Simplified PESI (SPESI).

Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratios (NLR) have been studied as a marker of acute inflammation in many areas. Studies of NLR values are available in the literature in acute abdomen cases such as mesenteric ischemia, peptic ulcer perforation, and acute cholecystitis, as lymph node metastasis marker in some cancers, in ischemic cases such as acute ischemic stroke, acute coronary syndromes, in vascular grafts such as aortic dissection, in rheumatologic diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis and ankylosing spondylitis, in COPD fever period and in various infectious conditions such as deep neck infection after acute tonsillitis [21-29].

The aim of this study was to form risk analysis by determining the risk factors that increase the mortality in this disease with high mortality and morbidity and to investigate the effect of NLR on mortality.

Material and Methods

Our retrospective cross-sectional study was initiated at the İzmir Kâtip Çelebi University Atatürk Training and Research Hospital after the approval of the ethics committee. Patients admitted to the Emergency Department within 1 y and whose CTPA taken and patients diagnosed with PE after CTPA by two different radiologists were included in the study. Exclusion criteria were identified as patients with active infection before hospital admission, sepsis, leukemia, myeloproliferative disease, splenectomy with trauma history, pregnancy, below 18 y old and whose data could not be reached. A total of 66 patients meeting the inclusion criteria were screened retrospectively from the hospital system; demographic data such as age, sex, and additional illnesses, smoking status, symptoms of admission, vital signs at the time of admission, hemogram values and hospital admission or referral status were recorded. Neutrophil and lymphocyte counts were recorded by screening the hemograms that were taken from the patients at the time of admission and analyzed on the calibrated Mindray BC6800, which was sent to emergency biochemistry laboratory in vacuumed EDTA-contain K3 tubes. Neutrophil and lymphocyte counts accepted as normal within the range of 2-7 K/Ul and 0.8-4 K/Ul, respectively. NLRs were calculated and recorded. CTPA images were obtained with a Toshiba aquilion 64 multislice CT device after OmniPaque 300/100 mg contrast medium 1 mg/kg was given to the patients CTPA withdrawal. Images were evaluated by two blinded radiologists and patients with thrombus in the main PA or branches were considered as PE. Using CTPA, we defined central PE as presence of thrombus in the main PA or the left or right main PA. A peripheral PE was defined as thrombus only in the lobar, segmental, or sub-segmental PAs and not in the main PAs. The 1-y mortality due to pulmonary embolism was determined by records and communication with phone. The patients were divided into 2 groups according to their survival within 1 y. Patients who died within 1 y were referred to as group 1, and patients who did not die within 1 y as group 2. The relationship between recorded data and 1-y mortality was assessed.

Statistical analysis

The data obtained in this study were analyzed with the SPSS 20 packet program. Shapiro Wilk's has been exploited due to the unit numbers while investigating the normal distribution of variables. It is stated that the variables do not come from normal distribution when P<0.05. Mann Whitney U Test was used because the variables were not different from the normal distributions while the differences between the groups were examined. Standardized z values for the Mann Whitney U Test are given since the number of units is more than 20. Chi-square analysis was applied when relations between groups of nominal variables were examined. Fisher's exact test was used when the expected values in 2 × 2 tables do not have sufficient volume. Pearson Chi-square analysis was employed to R × C tables with Monte Carlo Simulation. P<0.05 was considered significant.

Results

A total of 94 patients admitted to emergency department within 1 y and their CTPA was taken and diagnosed PE was identified. Exclusion criteria’s were identified as patients with active infection before hospital admission, sepsis, leukaemia, myeloproliferative disease, splenectomy with trauma history, pregnancy, below 18 y old and whose data could not be reached. Twenty-eight patients excluded from the study because 8 of these had active infection or sepsis, 2 of these had myelodysplastic syndrome, 10 of these had not got a contact number in hospital system and the remaining 8 patient’s information were incomplete in records. A total of 66 patients were included in the study and 35.84% (n=23) were male; 65.15% (n=43) were female of these patients. According to the sex, the mortality rate in males was 26.09% (n=6) and the mortality rate in females was 27.91% (n=12). There was no statistically significant difference in terms of sex status according to death status (p>0.05).

The mean age of the patients was 67.74. The average age of the patients who died within 1 y was 75.22, the average age of non-ex in 1 y was 64.94 and there was a statistically significant difference between the groups in terms of the patients' age according to their mortality status (p<0.05) (Table 1). Mortality was higher in elderly patients.

  n Mean Min-max SD P=0.006
Group 1 18 75.22 56-90 9.65
Group 2 48 64.94 24-92 14.59

Table 1: Mortality status of patients in terms of age.

Only 1 patient (2.08%) was smoking; the remaining 65 patients (97.92%) were not active smokers. It was determined that smoker patient did not die within a year.

When chronic illness cases of the patients included in the study were examined, 37 (56.06%) patients had positive chronic illness status; 29 (43.94%) patients had chronic disease status negative and 29.73% of the patients with chronic disease died within first 1 y; 72.73% of the patients did not die. When the effect of chronic disease was compared among the groups, no statistically significant difference was found between the groups with and without chronic disease in terms of mortality (p>0.05). When chronic diseases of the patients were considered separately, 10 (15.15%) patients had congestive heart failure (CHF), 13 (19.69%) had coronary artery disease (CAD), 5 had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (7.57%), 15 had hypertension (HT) (22.72%), 5 has diabetes mellitus (DM) (7.57%) and 19 (28.78%) had other diseases. According to these results, the most frequently diagnosed disease was HT, followed by CAD (19.69%) and CHF (15.15%). Chronic disease state and mortality relation are investigated; there was a statistically significant relationship between COPD status and mortality (p<0.05). 80% of the patients diagnosed with COPD were exitus and 77.05% of the non-COPD patients did not die (Table 2).

  Mortality Chi Square Test
Group 1 Group 2 Total
n % n % N % Chi Square p
Chronic disease No 7 24.14 22 75.86 29 100 0.052 0.82
Yes 11 29.73 26 70.27 37 100
Total 18 27.27 48 72.73 66 100
CHF CHF negative 14 25 42 75 56 100 Fisher's exact 0.442
CHF positive 4 40 6 60 10 100
Total 18 27.27 48 72.73 66 100
CAD CAD negative 14 26.42 39 73.58 53 100 Fisher's exact 0.739
CAD negative 4 30.77 9 69.23 13 100
Total 18 27.27 48 72.73 66 100
COPD COPD negative 14 22.95 47 77.05 61 100 Fisher's exact 0.017
COPD negative 4 80 1 20 5 100
Total 18 27.27 48 72.73 66 100
HT HT negative 13 25.49 38 74.51 51 100 Fisher's exact 0.531
HT positive 5 33.33 10 66.67 15 100
Total 18 27.27 48 72.73 66 100
DM DM negative 17 27.87 44 72.13 61 100 Fisher's exact 1
DM positive 1 20 4 80 5 100
Total 18 27.27 48 72.73 66 100
Other No 11 23.4 36 76.6 47 100 0.647 0.421
Yes 7 36.84 12 63.16 19 100
Total 18 27.27 48 72.73 66 100
Dispatch 16 27.12 43 72.88 59 100
Total 18 27.27 48 72.73 66 100

Table 2: Relationship between chronic disease status and mortality.

When the arrival symptoms of the patients were examined, the most common symptom was dyspnea in 56% (n=37) followed by dizziness with 15.15% (n=10) and chest pain with 4.55% (n=3). Other complaints included fever, leg pain, palpitation, blurring of consciousness, joint pain, general impairment, weakness, abdominal pain, seizures, syncope, back pain and pretibial edema. There was no statistically significant difference between the groups when the complaints of the patients and the mortality relation were examined (p>0.05).

In our study 66.7% (n=44) were peripheral and 33.3% (n=22) were central PA of the 66 patients, when the patients in the study group were compared in terms of being central or peripheral. The mortality rate of central embolism within 1 y was 36.36% (n=8) while the mortality rate of peripheral embolism was 22.73% (n=10) and there was a statistically significant relationship between being status of central or peripheral and death (p<0.05) (Table 3).

  Group 1 (n=18) Group 2(n=48) P=0.04
n % n %
Central 8 44.5 14 29.2
Peripheral 10 55.5 34 70.8
Total 18 100 48 100

Table 3: Comparison between groups according to central-peripheral state.

7 of the patients diagnosed with PE were hospitalized and 2 died. It was determined that 16 of the 59 patients that were referred to the external center, died. NLR were examined when patients diagnosed with PE and the average of NLR was 5.46 (± 5.05). When examined according to their mortality, NLR average of deaths was 7.52 and NLR averages of non-deaths was 4.68 within 1 y. When the NLR relationship with mortality of the patients was examined, NLR were found to be higher in the patients who died. But it was not statistically significant (p=0.06).

The optimal NLR cut-off value for the power in predict 1-y mortality was determined as 4.74 with ROC analysis and statistically significant (AUC: 0.65, %95GA 0.47-0.84, LR +=2.2, p<0.05) (Figure 1). The NLR cut-off value of 4.74 had sensitivity of 61%, specificity of 75%.

biomedres-ROC-analysis

Figure 1: ROC analysis of NLR data for 1-y mortality. Optimal NLR cut-off value for 1-y mortality was determined as 4.74 (AUC=0.65).

7 (16.3%) of 43 patients with a NLR of 4.74 or less died, however 11 (47.8%) of 33 patients had a NLR greater than 4.74 died. According to the chi-square statistical analysis, there was statistically significant differences between groups in terms of NLR on 1-y mortality and mortality in patients with a NLR greater than 4.74 was statistically significant higher than in patients with a NLR of 4.74 or less (p<0.05) (Table 4).

  Group 2 n (%) Group 1 n (%) p value
NLR<4.74 36 (83.7) 7 (16.3) 0.006
NLR>4.74 12 (52.2) 11 (47.8)

Table 4: Comparison between groups in terms of association with NLR with a cut-off value of 4.7 and 1-y mortality.

Discussion

Despite the progress of diagnostic tests, it is difficult and timeconsuming to diagnose PE. Therefore, new researches are still being carried out and additional diagnostic tests are sought. The absence of a specific clinic and parameters of PE obliges physicians to synthesize clinical, laboratory and imaging to confirm the diagnosis of PE. In order for the clinician to quickly diagnose, it is necessary to choose an algorithm that is easily accessible and highly sensitive. A number of studies have been carried out and are currently being conducted in relation to the most appropriate diagnostic and therapeutic approaches. The need for risk identification and further investigation in patients with acute PE suspicion in emergency care is still a controversial issue and there is no consensus on the approach to the patients. Because of the limitations of laboratory methods, it is suggested that clinical considerations along with laboratory methods should be taken into consideration in cases with PE.

This study was performed among 66 patients who were diagnosed with PE. The average age of the participants was 67.74 and 23 of them were male (34.85%) and 43 (65.15%) were female. In the study conducted by Ergan et al. with 56 patients in 2016, the average age was 70.5 and the female and male ratio were 53.6% and 46.4%, respectively [30]. Stein et al. found that PE frequency increased linearly with age and was more frequent in females over 50 y of age [31]. On the other hand, conversely, Miniati et al. reported that male gender was one of the leading factors in increasing PE risk [16].

The incidence of venous thromboembolism increases with age and is valid for both idiopathic and secondary PE. PE is seen eight times higher in patients over 80 y of age compared to those younger than 50 y old. Mortality is usually associated with cancer, chronic cardiopulmonary comorbidity and high age [32]. In our study, when we assess the association of the 1- y mortality and age, the average age of the death patients within 1 y is 75.2 and this age was found to be statistically significantly higher when compared to the age-average of nonex- patients. PE was more common in women; average age and age-mortality relation were determined in accordance with the literature. As the age increases, the mortality also increases proportionally.

Blondon et al. [33] in their study of the association between smoking and VTE published in 2015 have founded the conclusion that VTE is more common in smokers. Similar studies have been conducted on the effect of smoking on thrombosis [34,35]. However, the effect of smoking on the mortality of PE was not studied. Since there is only one patient in our study who smoked, it would be wrong to try to link the smoking with mortality and the 1-y mortality of the smoker patient is also negative.

In a study conducted by Tsai et al. [36], there was no statistically significant relationship between HT and PE when they investigated the relationship between chronic and PE risk. They found that there was a relationship between DM and PE in the same study. Conversely, there was no relationship between DM and PE in the study by Holst et al. [37]. Lee et al. [38] have investigated the risk variants associated with 1- month mortality in PE and VT patients. However, there was no statistically significant correlation between HT, DM, CAD, and CHF and mortality with 1-month mortality. In the study of Ergan et al., the comorbidities most commonly associated with PE are HT and DM. They determined CHF, COPD, obesity and immobilization, trauma, and surgery as risk factors [30]. In this study, however, the relationship between mortality and chronic disease was not studied. In our study, the most common additional disease was HT and followed by CHF, CAD and COPD.

In elder age, PE can be masked in some diseases, such as acute coronary syndrome or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) fever. The diagnosis of PE is difficult when it is associated with CHF or pneumonia [39]. The relationship between chronic disease and mortality was examined in our study; the reason that the mortality of COPD patients is statistically significantly high is due to the masking of pulmonary embolism and late diagnosis of COPD.

In a study conducted by Goldhaber et al., it was determined that 82% of PE cases had dyspnea, 49% had chest pain, 20% had cough, 14% had fainting, and 7% had hemoptysis [40]. In a study by Miniati et al. the most common distinctive clinical manifestations in patients with PE were dyspnea of 78%, chest pain of 44% and fainting of 26% [16]. In our study, the most common symptom was dyspnea with 56%, followed by chest pain, dizziness and fatigue, and our data were consistent with the literature.

In a study by Lee et al. [38], one-month mortality was not statistically significant in terms of mortality when embolism was center or pivotal. On the contrary, Jain et al. [41] in 2016 showed that 90-d mortality of patients with submassive embolism was statistically significantly higher than massive embolism. In our study, the 1-y mortality of patients with massive embolism was found to be statistically higher than that of patients with submassive embolism. In this respect, the data in the literature are contradictory and perspective multicentered studies are required.

In a study conducted by Soylu et al., it was found to be associated with an NLR of 10.8 times higher mortality rate in acute PE patients with a high NLR value more than 5.7 [42]. Kayrak et al. evaluated the relationship between increased NLR and prognosis in their studies in PE patients and that NLR at the time of admission to the hospital may be a 30-day mortality determinant in PE [43]. In our study, mortality rate was higher in patients with a NLR greater than 4.7 and this was compatible with the literature. This is also statistically significant. We are thinking that it will guide us in cases where PE is suspected, the NLR can be calculated to predict the mortality of this disease, which can progress rapidly and cause death, the diagnosis and treatment of the disease with hemogram measurement, which results in a short time after the emergency department visit and is easily accessible.

Conclusion

As the age increases, mortality due to pulmonary embolism increases. The most common comorbidity is HT. Patients with comorbid COPD, central embolism and an NLR of 4.74 have a higher mortality rate. We think that NLR can be used in evaluating 1-y mortality in order to determine the high-risk patients and to predict the mortality, which will be important in discharge and follow-up. Supportive studies in this subject, which will be carried out with prospective, multicenter, and more cases, are needed.

Limitations

The study has multiple limitations. First of all, owing to the retrospective nature of the study, comorbid diseases of patients could be assessed as much as they could be obtained from hospital data. Moreover, even if the data were written in full, additional illnesses reported by the patient and their relatives were included in the study. Another limitation is that the number of patients is very small and it is not right to reflect these results in a wider population. In addition to these, the main arrival symptom was not taken into consideration when arrival symptoms of the patients were evaluated. Finally, the effects of disease treatments on mortality have not been discussed. Due to all these limitations, studies with multiple center, prospective and wider patient population are needed.

References