# Estimation of Amino Acid Requirement Adjusting for Carry-Over Effect Based on Approximate Change-Point Regression Model.

**Mai Kato**

^{1*}, Satoshi Hattori^{2}and Kohsuke Hayamizu^{3}^{1}Kurume University Graduate School of Medicine and Biostatistics Department., Janssen Pharmaceutical K.K., 5-2
Nishi-kanda 3-chome, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 101-0065, Japan

^{2}Biostatistics Center, Kurume University, 67 Asahi-machi , Kurume, Fukuoka 830-0011, Japan

^{3}Human Life Science R & D Center, Nippon Suisan Kaisha Ltd., 2-6-2 Otemachi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8686, Japan

- *Corresponding Author:
- Mai Kato

Kurume University Graduate School of Medicine and

Biostatistics Department.

Janssen Pharmaceutical K.K., 5-2 Nishi-kanda 3-chome

Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 101-0065, Japan

**Accepted date:** January 27 2013

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## Abstract

It is an important issue to determine amino acid requirement in human in nutritional science. The indicator amino acid oxidation technique is often employed to the issue. An indicator amino acid is measured repeatedly from each participant at intake of various dosage of the target amino acid to determine the requirement. Change-point models are often employed to determine the requirement. Carry-over effects due to repeated measurement may influence on estimation of the change-point. In this paper, a model is introduced to evaluate the carry-over effect and to estimate the change-point adjusting for the carry-over effect. A simple inference procedure is introduced based on an approximation of the change-point model. It can be easily executed using a standard software for the non-linear mixed effect models. We apply the model to a dataset analyzed in a previous study to estimate the requirement of lysine in human. A simulation study is also conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed method with small sample size.

## Keywords

Indicator amino acid oxidation technique, Indispensable amino acid, Non-linear mixed effect model, Washout period

## Introduction

In nutritional science, the determination of amino acid requirement in humans has been of surging interest and importance [1-4]. The amino acid requirement is needed in order to support activities such as the determination of food and nutrition adequacy of population food intakes, setting of national food and nutrition guidelines by countries worldwide [5]. One of major methods to estimate amino acid requirement in human is indicator amino acid oxidation (IAAO) technique, based on the concept that when the target amino acid does not reach at the required level, in another word, is limiting protein synthesis, other amino acids in excess must be, therefore oxidized. This is because amino acid cannot be stored and therefore as the dietary amount of the target amino acid is increased, the other (indicator) amino acid is used more for protein synthesis and the oxidation of the indicator amino acid decreases until the requirement of the target amino acid is reached at sufficient level. By using this characteristic of amino acid, the IAAO method is designed to determine the requirement of a target amino acid. The IAAO is inversely related to protein synthesis and the inflection point where the oxidation of the indicator amino acid stops decreasing and reaches a plateau is referred to as the change-point, where the requirement of the target amino acid is reached is at which protein synthesis is maximized and thus the oxidation of the indicator amino acid is minimized. Zello et al [6] reported a study to determine the requirement of lysine. Phenylalanine, an indicator amino acid was evaluated by collecting expired breath. 13CO2 samples, which were not used for protein synthesis, repeatedly for each participant with various dosage of the target amino acid (lysine). A change-point model to estimate the requirement of lysine was applied [6]. As summarized in next section, phenylalanine was repeatedly measured and thus the observations within a participant should be regarded as statistically dependent. Another issue arising from repeated measurement is carry-over effect. Estimate of the change-point may be influenced by carry-over effect due to an insufficient washout-period. To the best of our knowledge, the influence of carry-over effect have not been accounted for in previous studies for amino acid requirement [1,3].In medical studies such as crossover trial for bioequivalence of pharmacokinetics, carry-over effects are often discussed [7,9]. Model-based adjustment of carry-over effects have been often applied [8,9]. In most of the literatures dealing with model-based adjustment of the carry-over effect, effects of the carryover are incorporated in the analysis of variance models. However, such an approach based on linear regression does not seem to be a natural approach for the estimation of a change-point. In this paper, we propose a model to estimate the amino acid requirement adjusting for the carry-over effect. We introduce a simple inference procedure based on an approximate change-point model. Statistical inference based on maximum likelihood theory is utilized to make inference of the change-point. Our method can be conducted with a standard statistical software package for the non-linear mixed effect model such as NLMIXED procedure of SAS (SAS Institute inc., Cary, NC) and nlme function in S-plus (Mathematical Systems inc., Tokyo) and R and thus has a potential of wide use for determining amino-acid requirement.

## Materials and Methods

*Lysine requirement study*

We provide a brief summary of the study conducted by
Zello et al. [6]. Following the IAAO framework, the
study was designed to determine the requirement of indispensable
amino acid, lysine in healthy adult humans
using L-[1-13 C] phenylalanine as an indicator amino acid.
Seven participants were enrolled in the study. The study
consisted of two parts. In the first dietary period (series 1),
the participants received an intake of the target amino
acid at day 3, 6, and 9. After a washout period of at least
14 days, the second dietary period (series 2) started and
the participants received an intake at day 3, 6 and 9 again.
Each participant received six different dosage of seven
lysine intakes (5, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50 and 60 mg/kg/d) and
the order of doses were determined by a Latin square.
Phenylalanine oxidations at each lysine intake and order
of dosage of lysine intake were presented in **Table 7** and **3** of Zello et al.[6] respectively. Zello et al [6] applied a
change-point regression model by using the estimating
method presented in the section 6.5 of Seber and Lee [10].
The change-point was estimated as 36.9 mg/kg/d with the
95% confidence interval (CI): [-0.041, 0.040] by Fieller's
method.

*Change-point regression model and approximate inference*

Let y_{ij} and x_{ij} be the measurement of L-[1-^{13}C] phenylalanine
and the dose of lysine at the j^{th} intake of lysine.
Individual profiles of phenylalanine over dosage of lysine
intake are presented (**Fig. 1**). As outlined in the previous
section, the participants received lysine repeatedly [6]. In
each series, dosage of lysine at day 3 may influence the
measurement of phenylalanine oxidation at day 6 if 3
days interval of dosage is not enough for washout period.
Similarly the measurement at day 9 may be influenced by
the amount of lysine intake at day 6 and at day 3. We here
introduce a model taking into account the influence of
previous dosages of lysine. Let x_{ij}* be the actual dose of
lysine in the i^{th} participant's body at the j^{th} intake of lysine
and x_{ij} be the dose at the j^{th} intake. Define w_{ij}(-3) and w_{ij}(-6)
as the dose at three days and six days before the jth intake
respectively; (w_{i1}^{(-3)}, w_{i1}^{(-6)})=(0, 0), (w_{i2}^{(-3)}, w_{i2}^{(-6)})=( x_{i1}, 0),
(w_{i3}^{(-3)}, w_{i3}^{(-6)})=(x_{i2}, x_{i1}), (w_{i4}^{(-3)}, w_{i4}^{(-6)})=(0,0), (w_{i5}^{(-3)}, w_{i5}^{(-6)})=(x_{i4},0) and (w_{i6}^{(-3)}, w_{i6}^{(-6)})=(x_{i5}, x_{i4}). The order of the
intake is given in **Table 3** of Zello et al.[3]. Between x_{ij} and x_{ij}*, a structural model
x_{ij}*= x_{ij} +f_{-3} w_{ij}^{(-3)} + f_{-6} w_{ij}^{(-6)} (Eq1) is considered. Parameters
f_{-3} and f_{-6} are regarded as a rate of dosage of intake at
three days and six days before the j^{th} intake accumulating
in body at j^{th} intake of lysine respectively.

We consider the following change-point model, for i=1,2, …,N and j=1,2, …, J, where J denotes the number
of lysine intake, N is the number of participants and
I(x_{ij}* < x_{cp}) = 1 if x_{ij} *<< x_{cp} and 0 otherwise. Fixed effects
are m, m and x_{cp}, and b_{i} is a random effect following a
normal distribution with mean 0 and variance α^{2}_{b}. A random
error e_{ij} follows a normal distribution with mean 0
and variance α^{2} and bi and e_{ij} are assumed statistically
independent.

In the model (Eq2), multiple unknown parameters are included in the indicator function. Thus it seems difficult to apply the formerly-used methods [10]. One may employ the maximum profile likelihood method [11,12]. However it is difficult to obtain a confidence interval even with the profile likelihood method.

We propose an approximate inference procedure. We introduce
a model Suppose m < 0. If x_{ij}*<x_{cp}, exp{m(x_{ij}*-x_{cp})}>>1 and
then the model (Eq3) provides an approximation .

Therefore the model (Eq3) is expected to approximate the model (Eq2). If the model (Eq3) approximates the model (Eq2) well, one can estimate unknown parameters of the model (Eq2) by maximum likelihood method based on the model (Eq3). The model (Eq3) is a special case of the standard non-linear mixed effect models [13] and unknown parameters in the model (Eq3) can be easily estimated by using standard software packages for nonlinear mixed effect models such as NLMIXED procedure in SAS and nlme function in S-plus and R. Confidence intervals are obtained following the standard asymptotic theory of the maximum likelihood estimation [13].

The mean functions of the model (Eq2) and that of the
model (Eq3) are plotted with m=- 0.1 (A) and m=- 0.5 (B)
(**Fig. 2**). These plots indicate that the appropriateness of
approximation of the model (Eq3) to the model (Eq2)
depends on the absolute value of m; if the absolute value
of m is not sufficiently large, the approximation may be
poor. By multiplying some positive constant to y_{ij}, the
absolute value of m can be large. By the transformation,
the parameters x_{cp}, f_{-3} and f_{-6} do not change. Based on this
property, we propose to apply the model (Eq3) after multiplying
a large positive constant ρ to y_{ij}.

## Results

The results of statistical analyses of lysine data are presented.
We fit the model (Eq3) with sufficiently large ρ
for estimation to have better approximation. Fitted mean
functions over dosage of lysine based on the model (Eq3)
and that of corresponding the model (Eq2) with ρ=1 and ρ=3 are presented (**Fig. 3**).with observations of a participant
(idno=3 as an example). Approximation of the model
(Eq3) to the model (Eq2) is not good with ρ=1, whereas
the mean function of the model (Eq2) is close to that of
the model (Eq3) with ρ = 3. To evaluate goodness-of-fit,
we introduce a measure called the standardized mean absolute
difference (SAAD). Let

are estimators by applying the approximate model (Eq3). SAAD is defined as

which is regarded as an average absolute difference between
the observed and the predicted value standardized
to the scale of original observations. Minimum of SAAD
is attained at ρ = 3. With ρ = 3, the change-point is estimated
as 35.43 with 95% CI: [22.32, 48.53], whereas,
with ρ=1, it is estimated very differently as 25.66 with
95% CI : [13.92-37.40] (**Table 1**). By taking account into within-participant correlation, the width of the confidence
interval of the change-point is much narrower than previously-
reported one [6]. With ρ = 3, f_{-3} and f_{-6} are estimated
0.15 of 95% CI: [-0.01, 0.30] and 0.04 of 95% CI:
(-0.18, 0.26) respectively (**Table 2**). This result indicates
that about 15% intake at three days ago and 4% one at six
days ago are remaining in participant's body and thus
washout period seems not to be enough. Although the
washout period is not necessarily enough, the estimate
without the lysine effect of previous accumulation is close
to that in our approach which takes account into carryover
effect [6]. With ρ > 1, the estimates of x_{cp}, f_{-3} and f_{-6} are not strongly affected by p

*Simulation*

We present here the results of a simulation study. The objective of the simulation study is to evaluate bias and coverage probability of the estimators for the changepoint in the presence of carry-over effect. Same as the situation in the article [6], sample size was set at n = 7 and the order of dosage of lysine was determined by a Latin square. Based on the data [6], we generated yij from the model

Parameters are set as x_{cp}=34.5, m=0.2, f_{1}=0.15,
V(b_{i})=exp{(0.7)} and V(ε_{ij}) = exp(0.5). One thousand
datasets were generated and the model [6] was fitted to
them after multiplying a constant ρ=1, 2, ..., 10. For the
comparison, a model without the carry-over effect term
f_{1}w_{ij}^{(1)} was also applied. Empirical biases and coverage
probabilities for f_{1}=0.15 with various ρs are summarized
(**Table 3**). Biases in the estimate of the change-point by
the model with the carry-over effect are negligible with ρ
> 3. The carry-over effect also can be estimated with considerable
biases. For both parameters, coverage probabilities
are very close to the nominal level if an appropriate ρ
is employed. On the other hand, the model without the
carry-over effect provides the biases estimate for the
change-point and the coverage probabilities are less than the nominal level. We conducted simulation experiments
with the other set of parameters and obtained similar results
to the above setting. These results indicate that in
studies to determine the amino acid requirement, the estimation
without adjusting for the carry-over effect may
lead downwardly biased estimate of the change-point.

*Extension*

The slope of the model (Eq2) after the change-point is set
at 0 since it seems to be natural for determining amino
acid requirement than allowing any slope parameters from
biological point of view. It is useful to consider a model
with arbitrary slope parameter after the change-point to
evaluate the assumption of zero slope after the changepoint
in the determination of amino acid requirement.
Such models are often investigated for other issues in nutrition
research [13,14]. Consider a model, With a similar approximate model, one can estimate unknown
parameters using standard software for the nonlinear
mixed effect model. With ρ = 3, the slope parameter
m_{2} was estimated -0.0007 (95% CI: [-0.041, 0.040],
P=0.96) indicating that the slope is flat after the changepoint.
The estimate of the change-point was not different
from the one using the model (Eq2).

As another extension, one may consider the change-point
is participant-specific. Let the participant-specific change point denoted by x_{cp,i} and the following structural model is considered, where Z_{i} is a covariate
vector for the i^{th} participant. The unknown parameter
h can be estimated by the method we proposed. Let Z_{i}^{(1)} and Z_{i}^{(2)} be BMI minus 1850 and RMI (resting metabolic
rate, kcal/day) of the i^{th} participant in the data of Zello et
al.[6]. We apply the model,

The parameters η_{1} and η_{2} were estimated 0.02 (95% CI:
[-0.086, 0.135]) and -0.001 (95% CI: [-0.0002, 0.0016])
respectively and neither was statistically significant. The
study was not designed to examine the effect of covariates
on the change-point and the ranges of BMI and RMI were
very narrow. It might cause non-significance of BMI and
RMI.

## Discussion

In this manuscript, we introduced a change-point model adjusting for carry-over effects due to repeated measure ments in determining amino acid requirement based on the IAAO technique. A simple method for parameter estimation is proposed based on approximating the discontinuous mean function with a smooth one. Our method can be easily conducted with a standard statistical software package such as R software. R is a free software developed by the R Foundation for Statistical Computing (http://www.r-project.org/). A program code in R is provided for our proposed method (Appendix I). Some researches considered to estimate the change-point from repeated measurements with alternative approximation [15,16]. Although they did not account for the carry-over effect, their approximations are also applicable to our models. Through the simulation study, we found that estimation based on approximation works well in the presence of the carry-over effect with small sample size arising in studies for amino acid requirement. Furthermore we found that estimate of the change-point with adjusting for the carry-over effect may be less biased when the order of the dosage of the target amino acid is determined by a Latin square. Thus here we recommend applying our proposed method in estimating the amino acid requirement based on the IAAO technique.

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**Appendix I: R code to fit the approximate change-point model (Eq3)**

#---including R package for non-linear mixed effect modellibrary( nlme)

#--input dataset---

setwd("E:\\")

data<-read.csv("E:\\data_zello2.csv",header=T)

==========================================

#---multipling constant to improve approximation---

rho<-1

data$fe_rho<-data$fe*rho

#---transforming data into repeated measurement format---- data2<-groupedData(fe~lys|id,data=as.data.frame(data))

#---Fitting approximate change-point mixed model----

result1<- nlme(fe_rho~log(1+exp(m*(lys+f1*prelys1+f2*prelys2- a)))+b+eb,

fixed=c(f1~1,f2~1,a~1,b~1,m~1),

random=eb~1,

data=data2,

start=c (f1=0.1,f2=0.1,a=30,b=3,m=-0.3),

method="REML")

summary (result1)